2009 local elections makes the syndrome is not looking President Macky Sall at these local elections December 1, 2019?
In 2007, President Abdoulaye Wade won the presidential election in the first round with a percentage of 55.90%. And during the local elections in 2009, he lost a lot of major cities. Thus, we could predict the downward spiral of his regime.
The question today, with & # 39 President Macky Sall is not running the same risk with the & # 39 is losing its most large cities in the local elections of December 1, 2019? The Head of State has, during the last presidential elections, won by a comfortable score of 58.26% and an exceptional turnout of 66.23%.
This was a brilliant success hides many challenges for the local. They can be measured in the results obtained by President Macky Sally in several large cities such as Dakar, Pikine, Guediawaye, Thies, Diourbel Mbacke, Ziguinchor, Bignona, etc.
When you delete a personal factor of President Macky Sall, which can range from 5% to 10%, the presidential majority is a percentage that can easily be exceeded by the sum of the percentage of opposition parties in the second category of the city.
Ben Bock Yaakar coalition (if it survives the course to December) will undoubtedly win the next local 1 December next. Winning local wins the highest number of municipalities. But rural communities are much more numerous, and they are traditionally in favor of BU.
Nevertheless, the loss of the big cities, but also to wait to lose the parliamentary in 2022 after the loss of the departments with the largest number of deputies.
It really is the risk of narrowing of the majority in parliament Yabe and loss of large cities can lead to a worse situation of loss of the parliamentary majority for President Macky Sally.
The situation with regard to the cities, where President Macky Sall won with a score below 55%. Indeed, when you remove the personal factor president Maki Sala BU below 50%, which puts the coalition in the framework of the & # 39; the united opposition.
These presidential elections have shown that the middle classes and the educated strata outside BFEM mostly voted for the opposition. Winning the big cities with a local in December 2019, will require to bring most of these voters in the lap of the presidential majority.
It will be important in the first statement, as in the appointment of Prime Minister & # 39; er minister and form a new government, that this option can be supported. It is not surprising that the knowledge that the President of the Republic Macky Sally political end, one of the greatest politicians that Senegal is known.
That is why the actions that will be generated by the President Macky Sally at the beginning of his final term will be crucial, especially during this week that we are entering.
It has in its hands the opportunity, fine reading his brilliant results, to fill the gaps, they show, to lay the foundation for the win in the major cities in the local and then 1 December 2019 and to make a springboard to victory in parliamentary elections in 2022 and the power and control through the implementation of peaceful second phase of the PES.
Bad play or bad management of social and citizen demand for middle-class and educated classes could make in January 2020 Senegal and manageability lead to living together in 2022 announced the completion of a very difficult mandate.
This is the task that President Macky Sall will face in his inaugural speech, his appointment and the actions that he should ask.
Moustapha sow journalist
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